Catch Up – Watch European Tourism and Coronavirus: 2020 losses and potential recovery

Catch Up – Watch European Tourism and Coronavirus: 2020 losses and potential recovery


David Goodger
Managing Director of Tourism Economics EMEA

David Goodger is the Managing Director of Tourism Economics EMEA. His team produces global forecasts of travel and tourism flows based on Oxford Economics’ global macroeconomic outlook. This includes the global tourism database of tourism flows and spending, covering 185 countries; the global city travel database of 300 cities; the air passenger forecast database; as well as the hotel performance forecast models developed in conjunction with STR; and custom forecast models.

David’s team also carries out economic impact analysis including TSA calculations and custom studies for specific tourism markets. This has included a range of diverse topics such as the importance of online interactions for destinations; and the importance of events for city destinations including the development of the Event Impact Calculator. David regularly presents the economic and tourism outlook as well as key forecast risk factors.

Helen McDermott
Director of Global Forecasting

Helen is a Lead Economist within Tourism Economics, with more than a decade of experience in economic modelling and consultancy. She specializes in tourism forecasting, tourism economic impact analysis including Tourism Satellite Account analysis and providing bespoke scenario analysis which cater to a range of client needs. She also manages the Global Travel Service (GTS) and Global City Travel (GCT) services, which provide timely forecasts of bilateral tourism flows across 185 countries and over 300 cities, as well as other core tourism indicators including overnight stays and tourism spending.

In addition to her regular forecasting work, Helen also plays a lead role in Tourism Economic’ consultancy services. Key projects include the Oxford Economics Economic Impact Research, produced on behalf of the World Travel & Tourism Company which measures the contribution of the travel & tourism sector to the wider economy. Helen is also responsible for producing quarterly forecasts for the hotel industry across a range of markets in Europe, the Middle East and Asia in partnership with STR.